Here
is an easy exercise that must be done in your head only. Do NOT use paper and
pencil or a calculator. Try to add up the following numbers as quickly as you
can. Take 1000 and add 40 to it. Now add another 1000. Now add 30. Add
another1000. Now add 20. Now add another 1000. Now add 10. What is the
total?
Our
confidence in our ability to add according to the way we were taught in base ten
encourages us to process the information this way and jump to a conclusion. If
your total is 5,000, then you are wrong. 96% of people who add these simple
numbers get the wrong answer. The numbers are arranged in such a way to set
people up to get the wrong answer when adding using base ten. The correct answer
is 4,100.
Human
nature is such that when we assume we know how to do something, we perform the
act without much thought about the assumptions we make. History is replete with
thousands of examples of what happens when people don't challenge
assumptions.
In
1968, the Swiss dominated the watch industry. Enterprising Swiss inventors
invented the electronic watch movement at their research institute in Neuchatel,
Switzerland. It was rejected by every Swiss watch manufacturer. Based on their
past experiences in the industry, they assumed this couldn't possibly be a
watch, because it had no gears or springs. Seiko took one look at this invention
and took over the world watch market.
When
Univac invented the computer, they refused to talk to business people who
inquired about it, because the computer was invented for scientists they assumed
it had no business applications. Then along came IBM and dominated the market.
IBM, itself, once said that according to their past experiences in the computer
market, they assumed that there was virtually no market for the personal
computer. In fact, they said they were absolutely certain there were no more
than five or six people in the entire world who had need for a personal
computer. And along came Apple.
When
Fred Smith started Federal Express, virtually every delivery expert in the U.S.,
doomed his enterprise to failure. Based on their experiences in the industry, no
one, they assumed, would pay a fancy price for speed and reliability. Chester
Carlson invented xerography in 1938. Virtually every major corporation,
including IBM and Kodak, scoffed at his idea and turned him down. They assumed
that since carbon paper was cheap and plentiful, who in their right mind would
buy an expensive copier. A group of people created a small company funded by
open-minded investors that eventually became Xerox. The investors all became
multi-millionaires. When was the last time you saw carbon paper?
Once
we think we know how something should be done, we keep doing it, then we teach
others to do it the same way, and they in turn teach others until eventually you
reach a point where no one remembers why something is done a certain way but we
keep doing it anyway. This human
behavior of not challenging assumptions reminds me of an experiment
psychologists performed years ago.
They
started with a cage containing five monkeys. Inside the cage, they hung a banana
on a string with a set of stairs placed under it. Before long, a monkey went to
the stairs and started to climb towards the banana. As soon as he started up the
stairs, the psychologists sprayed all of the other monkeys with ice cold water.
After a while, another monkey made an attempt to obtain the banana. As soon as his foot touched the stairs, all
of the other monkeys were sprayed with ice cold water. It's wasn't long before
all of the other monkeys would physically prevent any monkey from climbing the
stairs.
Now,
the psychologists shut off the cold water, removed one monkey from the cage and
replaced it with a new one. The new monkey saw the banana and started to climb
the stairs. To his surprise and horror, all of the other monkeys attacked
him. After another attempt and attack,
he discovered that if he tried to climb the stairs, he would be
assaulted.
Next
they removed another of the original five monkeys and replaced it with a new
one. The newcomer went to the stairs and was attacked. The previous newcomer
took part in the punishment with enthusiasm! Likewise, they replaced a third
original monkey with a new one, then a fourth, then the fifth. Every time the
newest monkey tried to climb the stairs, he was attacked.
The
monkeys had no idea why they were not permitted to climb the stairs or why they
were beating any monkey that tried. After replacing all the original monkeys,
none of the remaining monkeys hadever been sprayed with cold water.
Nevertheless, no monkey ever again approached the stairs to try for the banana.
Why not? Because as far as they know that's the way it's always been around
here.
People
sometimes do the same in the workplace. How many times have you heard "It has
always been done this way. Don't mess with what works." Instead of challenging
these assumptions, many of us, like the monkeys, simply keep reproducing what
has been done before. It's the easiest thing to do.
At
a seminar, a participant told me a humorous story of where this kind of
acceptance of assumptions can lead. A
quality management consultant was hired by a small English manufacturing company
to advise them on improving general operating efficiency. The company produced a
report which dealt with various aspects of productivity. At the top-right corner
of one form, there was a small box. The consultant noted that the figure '0' had
been written in every such report for the past year. On questioning the members
of the staff who completed the report, they told him that they always put a zero
in that box, and when he asked them why they told him they were told do so by
their supervisor. The supervisor told him he guessed it had to do with accidents
but wasn't sure. It had always been "0" for the twenty-five years he had been
there, so he continued the practice. It, too, was something he was told to do by
his former supervisor.
The
consultant could find no one in the company who could tell him what the box
represented. Intrigued, he went to the warehouse where the company kept its
archives to see what he could discover about the form. The company was founded
in 1937 and the records were preserved all the way back to 1940. He found the
old reports, he saw that the zero return had continued uninterrupted for as far
back as the records extended. Eventually, he found the box that catalogued all
the originals of the forms the company had used during its history dating back
to 1940. In it, he found the original report which was created in 1941, in
pristine condition. In the top right corner was the mysterious box, with the
heading clearly shown ...... 'Number of Air Raids Today.' Over time, the heading disappeared but the
box remained.
We
automatically accept what we are taught and exclude all other lines of thought.
The same thing happens when we see something odd or unusual in our experiences.
We tend to accept whatever explanation someone with experience tells us. This
kind of thinking reminds me of herring gulls. Herring gulls have a drive to
remove all red objects from their nest. They also have a drive to retrieve any
egg that rolls away from the nest. If you place a red egg in the nest, when the
gull returns she will push it out, then roll it back in, then push it out again,
only to retrieve it once more.
Source:
http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/creative-thinkering/201107/what-monkeys-can-teach-us-about-human-behavior-0
0 comments:
Post a Comment